S = k. log W


The social demand for political certainty is usually greater than the supply of evidence that supports that certainty. Politics is primarily driven by belief, not evidence.

Evidence-based certainty uses rational scientific process to gradually develop testable theories based on empirical evidence. Belief-based certainty works in the other direction, the desired certainty is known and rationality is abused to build on selective evidence to “prove” that belief.

Belief-based certainty has higher political value in the short term because it satisfies the immediate emotional demand for certainty. If a belief immediately resolves uncertainties and complexities and it is repeated within the culture then it becomes a political fact for those that need it.

Evidence-based inquiry is a process that only produces a gradually increasing probability of certainty in the long term. Facts usually lose the news cycle but eventually win the cultural war.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Hegel Hegel Hegel. It looks like you're quoting hegel.

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Since I was eight years old I have only been interested in understanding the world in the broadest context possible. I have never specialized in any field but learned in college that system theory was a means of synthesizing contexts. I studied writing at the University of Iowa but I am only interested in writing a few good things. I made a living first with my hands and then in service to others in health care. I am now writing about cognition and consciousness because understanding the windows that we look through is a prerequisite for understanding the world that we inhabit.